LIVE: Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings


SAT, NOV 30, 2019
5:00 PM ET
Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California

The Denver Nuggets are one of the hottest teams at the moment in the NBA. They recorded ten wins in the last 11 games, while the Nuggets are on a six-game winning streak after defeating the Washington Wizards in the most recent game. Denver improved to a 13-3 record and is in the 2nd place in the Western Conference.

The Sacramento Kings returned home from a four-game road trip on the East with three losses and one win. The Kings concluded that road trip with a pair of defeats to the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers. Sacramento dropped to a 7-10 record and is in the 9th position in the West.

These conference rivals already met this season, and the Nuggets beat the Kings 101-94 at Golden 1 Center. Denver was better in the previous five H2H encounters and won four of the last five meetings in Sacramento.

The Nuggets didn’t have problems against the Wizards at home

Denver spent the previous four games at home and recorded all four wins, including the latest one over the Washington Wizards. The Nuggets won the second quarter by 15 points and then maintained a comfortable lead to get to a 117-104 victory. Jerami Grant led Denver with season-high 20 points and a couple of steals, Will Barton added 17 points, eight rebounds, and game-high eight assists, while Jamal Murray scored 16 points. Mason Plumlee had 15 points and seven boards, while Nikola Jokic ended the tilt with eight points, season-high 20 rebounds, and five dimes.

“We’re not joking around with first team,” Jamal Murray said. “He’s (Gary Harris) been showing it. Not just one game, not just two games, but all season long.”

This season, the Nuggets have the 22nd offense in the NBA that averages 107.3 points per game, and they are facing the Kings’ 11th defense that allows 108.2 points per contest. The Nuggets are 4th in rebounds with 47.6 and 6th in assists with 26.1 per game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Denver has a positive record against the Kings in recent years. The Nuggets proved that already this season when they beat Sacramento 101-94 at Golden 1 Center. Seven or fewer points decided each of the previous three H2H duels, and I expect another close encounter on Saturday. Nikola Jokic scored only nine points (4/15 from the field) in that win over the Kings, and after scoring just eight in a win over Washington, I am backing the Joker to return to his usual self on offense and led his team to a victory. Richaun Holmes can be a tricky matchup for Jokic, but Denver’s All-Star center already finished the previous two games in single digits, and I don’t think that will occur in this one. I am going with Denver to cover the spread and secure the seventh straight win.

Prediction: Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Sacramento doesn’t have a particularly efficient offense, but the Kings are capable of scoring 100+ points against any opponent in the NBA, especially at home. They failed to do that in the previous H2H tilt with Denver (94), but since that duel, the Kings scored 100+ in each of five home games. Denver doesn’t have problems with efficiency lately, and even though Sacramento played excellent defense at home recently, I am backing the Nuggets to score 100+ here. The total is set at 209, and I am backing these rivals to combine for at least 210 points.

Prediction: Over 209 (-110)

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